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	<title>Aston Villa Central &#187; Previews</title>
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		<title>Final Day Fixtures And Possibilities For Next Season</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/final-day-fixtures-and-possibilities-for-next-season/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/final-day-fixtures-and-possibilities-for-next-season/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 May 2010 07:32:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aston Villa vs Blackburn Rovers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UEFA Europa League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=5089</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We&#8217;re almost there then, the final day of the season with all 10 games played simultaneously &#8211; kick off is at 4pm on Sunday.




Arsenal (3rd) v Fulham (12th)
Aston Villa (6th) v Blackburn (11th)
Bolton (14th) v Birmingham (9th)
Burnley (19th) v Tottenham (4th)
Chelsea (1st) v Wigan (15th)




Everton (8th) v Portsmouth (20th)
Hull (18th) v Liverpool (7th)
Man Utd (2nd) [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We&#8217;re almost there then, the final day of the season with all 10 games played simultaneously &#8211; kick off is at 4pm on Sunday.</p>
<table>
<tr>
<td width="50%">
<ul>
<li>Arsenal (3rd) v Fulham (12th)</li>
<li>Aston Villa (6th) v Blackburn (11th)</li>
<li>Bolton (14th) v Birmingham (9th)</li>
<li>Burnley (19th) v Tottenham (4th)</li>
<li>Chelsea (1st) v Wigan (15th)</li>
</ul>
</td>
<td width="50%">
<ul>
<li>Everton (8th) v Portsmouth (20th)</li>
<li>Hull (18th) v Liverpool (7th)</li>
<li>Man Utd (2nd) v Stoke (10th)</li>
<li>West Ham (17th) v Man City (5th)</li>
<li>Wolves (16th) v Sunderland (13th)</li>
</ul>
</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>It goes without saying that most eyes will be on Stamford Bridge and Old Trafford, especially with the bottom three relegated teams already confirmed, it&#8217;s the top of the table where all the interest is.<br />
<span id="more-5089"></span><br />
Utd and Chelsea fight for 1st place of course.  Arsenal have been dragged into battle with Tottenham for 3rd spot.  Fortunately for Arsenal, they host a Fulham side who will more than likely be focused on Wednesday&#8217;s Europa League final in Hamburg on Wednesday.  </p>
<p>With a path leading directly into the group stage of the Champions League on offer, 3rd place is a prize worth chasing.  Not only does the play off place awarded to 4th mean a risk of not actually reaching the competition, but it potentially provides an unwelcome distraction right as the new season starts &#8211; the two-legged play-off matches are scheduled for 17th/18th and 24th/25th August.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a similar story with 5th, 6th &#038; 7th places and the Europa League. 7th place will mean joining the competition in the 3rd qualification round and with legs scheduled for 29th July and 5th August that will clearly have an impact on pre-season planning.</p>
<p>The teams that finish 5th and 6th will join the Europa League in the 4th and final qualification round which will take place on 19th &#038; 26th August.</p>
<p>Man City can finish 5th or 6th.  Villa can finish in 5th, 6th or 7th and Liverpool could wind up in either 6th or 7th place.  Personally, I want 5th, of course I do, but I&#8217;ll take finishing above Liverpool.</p>
<p>Below the top 7, there&#8217;s literally nothing but pride at stake.  Everton will obviously be extremely disappointed to miss out on a European place and will take no comfort from the fact that they cannot be passed for 8th.</p>
<p>Birmingham City are practically guaranteed a top 10 finish and it has to be said, that&#8217;s quite an achievement.  Credit where it&#8217;s due.  With Wolves staying up and West Brom rejoining us, it promises to be an interesting season in the midlands next year.</p>
<p>By 6pm on Sunday it will all be over and there will be no more questions left to answer.  If I was willing to stick my neck on the block and make a prediction, I&#8217;d say that the top 7 will not change.  For once each of the 7 teams have their destiny in their own hands and all could and should win their fixtures.  </p>
<p>In the end, then, it will come down to who throws it away if there are to be any changes to the order of the top 7.  As I&#8217;m fond of pointing out, predictions in this game are entirely pointless, so I won&#8217;t be putting my neck on that block.  Can you see any of the 7 slipping up though?</p>
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<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/07/five-reasons-why-the-europa-league-should-matter-to-aston-villa/" title="Five Reasons Why The Europa League Should Matter To Aston Villa">Five Reasons Why The Europa League Should Matter To Aston Villa</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/06/201011-premier-league-and-europa-league-fixtures/" title="2010/11 Premier League And Europa League Fixtures">2010/11 Premier League And Europa League Fixtures</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/the-thin-line-between-ecstasy-and-heartbreak/" title="The Thin Line Between Ecstasy And Heartbreak">The Thin Line Between Ecstasy And Heartbreak</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/statshack-aston-villa-0-blackburn-1/" title="Statshack &#8211; Aston Villa 0 Blackburn 1">Statshack &#8211; Aston Villa 0 Blackburn 1</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/aston-villa-blackburn/" title="Aston Villa 0 Blackburn 1 &#8211; Sixth Place It Is">Aston Villa 0 Blackburn 1 &#8211; Sixth Place It Is</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Throwing Stones In Glass Houses</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/throwing-stones-in-glass-houses/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/throwing-stones-in-glass-houses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 May 2010 06:03:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General Stuff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manchester City vs Aston Villa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=4949</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Man City recently visited The Emirates with the clear primary intention of avoiding defeat, their cause largely assisted by an Arsenal side devoid of much interest in winning themselves.  Mancini&#8217;s thinking could not have been more clearly stated; take a point against Arsenal, then win the points they need for fourth from Villa and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Man City recently visited The Emirates with the clear primary intention of avoiding defeat, their cause largely assisted by an Arsenal side devoid of much interest in winning themselves.  Mancini&#8217;s thinking could not have been more clearly stated; take a point against Arsenal, then win the points they need for fourth from Villa and Tottenham.  Cheeky bugger if you ask me, but he&#8217;s technically correct since both games happen to be &#8220;six pointers&#8221;.  He&#8217;s got to pull it off first though.</p>
<p>The one point of interest during the bore-fest in North London came late on when Shay Given attempted to make a fairly routine looking save from what could have been Arsenal&#8217;s first real shot on goal of the second half.  The Irishman landed awkwardly and from the painful reaction &#8211; later requiring oxygen as he was stretchered off &#8211; it seemed likely that he had dislocated his shoulder, which was later confirmed.</p>
<p>His replacement was not the familiar face of the perpetual bench warmer Stuart Taylor, who is injured himself, but a young man from the Faroe Islands of all places; Gunnar Nielsen. I joked on Twitter at the time about the irony of Man City, with all their money, having to rely on the services of some kid from the Faroes as a back up.  A couple of people responded by pointing out that Joe Hart was on season long loan at Birmingham City.  I hadn&#8217;t forgotten, the point stands, Man City sanctioned that deal.</p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/broken_glass.jpg" alt="" title="Those In Glass Houses Shouldn&#039;t Throw Stones" width="500" height="151" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4952" /><br />
<span id="more-4949"></span><br />
I call Nielsen a &#8216;kid&#8217;, which in goalkeeping terms is true to a point, but he&#8217;s actually 23.  He was brought to City by Mark Hughes from Blackburn and the Welshman was also responsible for bringing him to Lancashire in the first place.  Perhaps not a ringing endorsement, but someone somewhere must have seen something in him and while the Faroes are far from footballing giants, he is an international player.</p>
<p>My assumption was that Neilsen was probably third choice goal keeper and would therefore start against us on Saturday with someone from the City academy on the bench.  City had other ideas.  It&#8217;s emerged that Neilsen is actually their fourth choice with 27 year old Colombian David González Giraldo third choice, but also injured.  Either way, clearly City don&#8217;t really want to be dropping so far down the ladder; Neilsen&#8217;s OK to sit on the bench, but they don&#8217;t want to actually play him.  With Hart stuck in Birmingham, are we to assume that City lacked the foresight to ensure there was a recall clause in Hart&#8217;s season loan deal?</p>
<p>As it turns out, Manchester City employ no less than 9 goalkeepers. Nine!  However, they still went cap in hand to the Premier League to ask for special dispensation to sign an emergency goalkeeper to plug the gap.  The powers that be acquiesced and Marton Fulop grabbed his gloves and headed down to Eastlands from Sunderland.</p>
<h3>Precedent Set</h3>
<p>Earlier in the week I was listening to some podcast or other &#8211; ESPN Soccernet I think &#8211; and one of the presenters, who happened to have a Mancuian accent, talked about a precedent being set.  I knew what was coming and I bet you do too.  Yup, back in December 2006 we also had a minor goal keeping crisis of sorts with both Thomas Sørensen and Stuart Taylor picking up injuries in quick succession.  I can&#8217;t help wondering whether Taylor&#8217;s nickname might be &#8216;Lucky&#8217;.</p>
<p>We were forced to rely on the then 21 year old reserve keeper Robert Olejnik &#8211; now number one keeper up at Falkirk &#8211; to deputise for Taylor, but once Taylor also got injured, MON had similar reservations about handing the gloves to Olejnik as Mancini has over Neilsen.</p>
<p>Hang on here though, a lot of similarities certainly, but a precedent?  Really?</p>
<p>Look, no excuses here but Martin O&#8217;Neill and Randy Lerner had barely been at Villa for three months at that point.  MON had time to make one permanent signing before the Summer window closed in Stiliyan Petrov and admittedly also shored up some weaknesses with a couple of free agent signings.  But let&#8217;s cut them a little slack if they failed to make having 3 first team quality goalkeepers on the payroll a priority during the limited time they had to work with.</p>
<p>So finding ourselves relying on a promising 21 year old for first team goalkeeping, MON sought permission to make an emergency short term loan, which we were granted.  Enter Gabor Kiraly, he of the tracky bottom fame.  The Hungarian got us through the tricky month of December and into January, but with a record of 5 losses and 1 draw, it was a case of &#8216;thanks very much, don&#8217;t call us, we&#8217;ll call you&#8217; and off he headed.</p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/radiohead_01.jpg" alt="" title="Hunting Bears" width="500" height="187" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4954" /></p>
<h3>Life In A Glass House</h3>
<p>If I&#8217;m honest, I&#8217;m not overly impressed about this.  It&#8217;s really stretching things to draw parallels between our situation in 2006 and Man City now.  The word I frequently throw around in relation to City is &#8216;vulgarity&#8217; and I&#8217;m still to find something more appropriate.  Call it schadenfreude, call it what you like, but I don&#8217;t mind admitting that I found the mess thoroughly amusing.  &#8216;Irony&#8217; doesn&#8217;t even begin to describe the situation.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s City&#8217;s own doing, isn&#8217;t it?  As much as I like the image, I doubt very much that Alex McLeish held a gun to Hughes&#8217; head when they did the loan deal for Hart.  If they couldn&#8217;t work a recall clause in then that&#8217;s surely their own problem?</p>
<p>They say that those in glass houses shouldn&#8217;t throw stones, but I really don&#8217;t care, City are just about the last team in the League that should be given any special treatment because of a lack of players.  It&#8217;s almost obscene.  (Mmmm, I might have a challenger to &#8216;vulgar&#8217;).  That said, it&#8217;s really just the principle I object to.  I object to our situation in 2006 being equated to City now, but I can&#8217;t avoid conceding that losing your first three goalkeepers is unlucky to say the least.</p>
<p>If I were to put the boot on the other foot for a moment and try to imagine how we would feel if we lost Friedel, Guzan and Marshall, leaving Elliot Parish to man the sticks, I guess I&#8217;d probably agree with any attempts to seek permission for an emergency loan too.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll find out on Saturday, but who&#8217;s to say that Fulop will do a better job than Neilsen could have done?  Fulop may be more experienced and possibly a technically better goalkeeper, but he&#8217;s never played in any City side before.  Communication with defenders is a key element to the role and not something they have any chance of having under control in time.  If Ash and Downing can send enough crosses into that sweet no man&#8217;s land spot leaving City players second guessing who is going to deal with the ball, I can see us benefiting.</p>
<p>So while I don&#8217;t agree with City being given special treatment, even at the risk of appearing hypocritical, even if throwing a few stones breaks some glass, in the end it might not matter.  It may even work in our favour.</p>
<p>Regardless, it&#8217;s a game we have to win to retain a chance of fourth place &#8211; we may need a win just to cling on to fifth &#8211; and whoever is in goal has to be beaten.  That&#8217;s all there is to it, no lame excuses.</p>
<p>But if you want to talk about precedents being set, I think City has just laid down a big marker we&#8217;ll hear about again some time.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Passion / Spirit / Desire / Jubilation / Determination</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/passion-spirit-desire-jubilation-determination/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/passion-spirit-desire-jubilation-determination/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Apr 2010 22:08:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aston Villa vs Birmingham City]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=4804</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[







20th April 2008, Villa Park.  A brace each from Ash and Carew topped with a 5th from Gabby.  What a day. Some great, great moments.  From the goals, to Carew and the ball boy, to Ollie pumping his fists with unbridled joy in the 85th minute.  I think that look on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4805" title="20-04-08" src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/20-04-08.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="150" /></p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/passion.jpg" alt="" title="Passion" width="500" height="636" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4806" /><br />
<span id="more-4804"></span><br />
<img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/spirit.jpg" alt="" title="Spirit" width="500" height="331" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4807" /></p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/desire.jpg" alt="" title="Desire" width="500" height="565" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4808" /></p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/jubilation.jpg" alt="" title="Jubilation" width="500" height="315" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4809" /></p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/determination.jpg" alt="" title="Determination" width="500" height="643" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4810" /></p>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/astonvilla5-birmingham1.jpg" alt="" title="Aston Villa 5 Birmingham 1" width="500" height="150" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4811" /></p>
<p><strong>20th April 2008, Villa Park</strong>.  A brace each from Ash and Carew topped with a 5th from Gabby.  What a day. Some great, great moments.  From the goals, to Carew and the ball boy, to Ollie pumping his fists with unbridled joy in the 85th minute.  I think that look on his face will be etched in my mind forever!!</p>
<p>Just over two years later and they&#8217;re back&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8230;hopefully for more of the same!!</p>
<p>UTV!!</p>
<p></p>
<p><em>I&#8217;d love to give these pics attribution, but they&#8217;ve been sat on my hard drive for 2 years and I honestly couldn&#8217;t say where they came from.  Sufficed to say that they remain the property of the appropriate copyright holders.</em></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Greater Than The Sum Of Its Parts</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/greater-than-the-sum-of-its-parts/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/greater-than-the-sum-of-its-parts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Apr 2010 17:00:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[0% Villa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hull vs Aston Villa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UEFA Champions League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=4765</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s probably entirely fair that the majority of the sane football world regard Barcelona as the best team on the planet at the moment and Lionel Messi as the world&#8217;s best player.  Inter Milan were the under dogs for last night&#8217;s Champions League semi final and whilst Barcelona aren&#8217;t massively superior on a man-for-man [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s probably entirely fair that the majority of the sane football world regard Barcelona as the best team on the planet at the moment and Lionel Messi as the world&#8217;s best player.  Inter Milan were the under dogs for last night&#8217;s Champions League semi final and whilst Barcelona aren&#8217;t massively superior on a man-for-man basis, it was also fair to describe them as the favourites.</p>
<p>But a funny thing happened; Barcelona lost 3-1.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not what is intriguing me and causing this little venture from the well trodden Villa path today though.  What grabbed my attention is that Mourinho&#8217;s side won the game with just <strong>33%</strong> of the possession.  They won the game by connecting just <strong>158</strong> passes to Barcelona&#8217;s <strong>521</strong>.  That&#8217;s a <strong>23%</strong> share of the completed passes in the game.  I&#8217;ve checked.  There&#8217;s been just two matches in the last 4 seasons that Aston Villa had had a lower CPS in a game:-</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>20%</strong> &#8211; 26th December &#8216;07 &#8211; <strong>Chelsea 4 Aston Villa 4</strong></li>
<li><strong>22%</strong> &#8211; 28th October &#8216;06 &#8211; <strong>Liverpool 3 Aston Villa 1</strong></li>
</ul>
<p><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/sneijder_mourinho.jpg" alt="" title="sneijder_mourinho" width="500" height="200" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4768" /><br />
<span id="more-4765"></span><br />
The official Man of the Match; Wesley Sneijder, besides scoring Inter&#8217;s crucial equaliser, completed just <strong>10</strong> of the <strong>26</strong> passes he attempted during the course of the match.  That&#8217;s a <strong>38%</strong> completion rate that would make Reo-Coker wince.</p>
<p><strong>30%</strong> of Inter&#8217;s attempted passes, compared to <strong>14%</strong> of Barcelona&#8217;s, were classified as &#8220;long passes&#8221; and those passes had a completion rate of just <strong>36%</strong> while Barcelona completed <strong>71%</strong> of their long passes.  Shhhh, don&#8217;t tell Arsene Wenger this though, he&#8217;ll call them a long ball team.</p>
<p>Inter&#8217;s total pass completion rate was just <strong>58%</strong>.  Barcelona hooked up <strong>82%</strong> of the <strong>636</strong> passes they attempted.  </p>
<p>So what?</p>
<p>We beat Liverpool, Chelsea and Man Utd this season with a similar share of possession and although we managed a greater share of the passing game than Inter did against Barcelona, we were far inferior by that measure too.  </p>
<p>Could it be that organisation and team spirit go an awful long way?  Could it be that a team can truly be greater than the sum of its parts?  I believe that is the case and it&#8217;s one of the most important qualities MON was looking for when he was assembling the components of this team in my opinion.  I sometimes see people lambaste that as if it&#8217;s a bad thing.   It isn&#8217;t.  It wins games.</p>
<p>And one final thought on the subject of bringing in the right players at the right time.  Last summer there was the usual crying about lack of transfer activity and speculation about a shortage of funds.  General Krulak tried to calm fears by insisting that if MON wanted to purchase a player for £30m, he could, the money would be there.  Of course, that was twisted into some kind of promise of a £30m player which never materialised, leaving a lot of rattles laying on the ground beside the prams.</p>
<p>One of the names being banded around was a certain Wesley Sneijder.  So, let&#8217;s get some perspective here people: last night Mr Sneijder was the Man of the Match against Barcelona in the San Siro.  Tonight, we run out on the pitch at KC Stadium in Hull.  No disrespect to Hull City or the people that live there, but come on!</p>
<p>Incidentally, if we win in Hull tonight, the 3 points will take us to <strong>1,000 points</strong> to date in the Premiership.  We&#8217;ll be only the fifth team to reach that milestone, you already know who the first four were.  That will be quite an achievement and interesting to note that <strong>233</strong> of those points will have been earned under Martin O&#8217;Neill.</p>
<p></p>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/the-case-of-the-missing-european-cup/" title="The Case Of The Missing European Cup">The Case Of The Missing European Cup</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/05/why-im-backing-tottenham-for-champions-league/" title="Why I&#8217;m Backing Tottenham For Champions League">Why I&#8217;m Backing Tottenham For Champions League</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/statshack-hull-0-aston-villa-2/" title="Statshack &#8211; Hull 0 Aston Villa 2">Statshack &#8211; Hull 0 Aston Villa 2</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/hull-0-aston-villa-2-1000-premiership-points/" title="Hull 0 Aston Villa 2 &#8211; 1,000 Premiership Points">Hull 0 Aston Villa 2 &#8211; 1,000 Premiership Points</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/is-winning-everything/" title="Is Winning Everything?">Is Winning Everything?</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Six To Go Starting With Everton Tonight</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/six-to-go-starting-with-everton-tonight/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/six-to-go-starting-with-everton-tonight/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Apr 2010 13:58:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aston Villa vs Everton]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=4644</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Martin O&#8217;Neill has talked about needing to win the next 6 games to have a chance of finishing in the top 4.  He&#8217;s probably right.  That&#8217;s clearly the intention within the camp: Carlos Cuellar most recent updates on Twitter and Facebook talked about tonight being the first of our &#8220;cup finals&#8221; to get [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Martin O&#8217;Neill has talked about needing to win the next 6 games to have a chance of finishing in the top 4.  He&#8217;s probably right.  That&#8217;s clearly the intention within the camp: Carlos Cuellar most recent updates on Twitter and Facebook talked about tonight being the first of our &#8220;cup finals&#8221; to get to the top four.  That&#8217;s pretty encouraging, at least for me.</p>
<p>I suppose the only downside with that mentality is that the instant they fail to win one of the next six &#8211; I mean <em>if</em> they fail, obviously &#8211; then does that not destroy the motivation that they have?  As if it&#8217;s suddenly no longer worth pursuing.  I don&#8217;t know, but I certainly hope they all give it everything until the final whistle of the final game, no matter what.</p>
<p>I frequently talk about the futility of making predictions, but it&#8217;s too tempting not to indulge now and again, even if <a title="Sublime To Ridiculous – March Madness" href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/sublime-to-ridiculous-march-madness/" target="_self">doing so proves the point</a>.  Yes, apparently I was hopelessly optimistic!</p>
<p>Going in, we all knew how bad the month of March has been under Martin O&#8217;Neill.  However, despite the frustration of the draws and the embarrassment of the Stamford Bridge whooping, March 2010 still turned out to be MON&#8217;s best since joining Villa, returning an average of 1.20 points per game.<br />
<span id="more-4644"></span><br />
Yes, this does serve to highlight how low the bar was set with the previous seasons delivering 0.67, 0.40 &#038; 0.25 respectively, but credit where it&#8217;s due; it <em>was</em> better.  I decided to look at our entire history in the Premiership month by month on a points per game basis and I discovered an interesting little factoid.  So far this season, we&#8217;ve not suffered a single month where the points per game ratio fell below 1.00.  </p>
<p>Not interesting?  OK, well here&#8217;s a little quiz question for you then (answer at the bottom) &#8211; <strong>only one manager has so far managed to steer Villa through an entire Premiership season without suffering a single monthly points per game ratio of less than 1.00.  Can you name that manager?</strong>  (The answer might surprise you)</p>
<h3>Extrapolation</h3>
<p>Just for fun, this is not a prediction y&#8217;understand.  </p>
<p>MON&#8217;s average points per game ratios at Villa for the months of April and May before this season are 1.79 and 1.50 respectively.  (It should be noted that May generally only contains 1 or 2 games though)  If we achieve the same rates this season, with 5 games in April and 2 in May, we should expect a return of about 12 points.  Of course, we&#8217;ve already played the first of those games, getting three points against Bolton.</p>
<p>We had 51 points before the Bolton game, so, based on these averages, that would extrapolate to a finish of 63 points.  That&#8217;s 1 point better than last season, but is highly unlikely to be enough to deliver a top four finish.  You can see why MON is saying that we need to win the remaining games.</p>
<p>We currently have 54 points, so if we were to win the final 6 games, we&#8217;d finish the season on 72 points.  That would be a 10 point improvement on last season, which would be <em>phenomenal</em>, and would have been good enough for at least 4th place in 15 out of 17 Premiership seasons.</p>
<p>I have a feeling that the final outcome will be somewhere between the two, but we clearly need to at least match our average April and May performances under MON to deliver a single point improvement on last year.  If we do that at least, where it places us in the table is out of our hands.  That&#8217;s down to how everyone else around us does, we can only control our own record.</p>
<h3>Home And Away</h3>
<p>So, six games to go and it&#8217;s three at home, three away.  </p>
<p>While our home record isn&#8217;t bad, we could have done with 1 or 2 of the 7 draws being wins.  Then again, when you actually look at those 7 draws &#8211; Man City, Tottenham, West Ham, Arsenal, Man Utd, Wolves, and Sunderland &#8211; it&#8217;s probably just the last 2, and possibly the West Ham game, that might have made you wince a little if you were shown those results at the start of the season.  Given that Wolves and Sunderland came during the infamous month of March and we had to fight back from being behind in both, I&#8217;ll take them!!</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve only lost twice at home; Liverpool were extremely fortunate to leave with all the spoils and the less said about the opening day debacle against Wigan, the better.  But still, overall, not a bad record at all.</p>
<p>So the sequence of the final six games in terms of venue works quite nicely for us I think.  Starting with <strong>Everton</strong> tonight at Villa Park, we follow that up with trips to <strong>Portsmouth</strong> and then <strong>Hull</strong>.  Then we have a certain home <strong>derby game</strong> which I&#8217;m sure will be fairly low key (/sarcasm). The away game at <strong>Man City</strong> is potentially <em>huge</em> and precedes the season finale; <strong>Blackburn</strong> at Villa Park.</p>
<p>Even with my eternal optimism, I can&#8217;t honestly see 18 points there, but there could be a decent haul if things go our way.  As I keep saying, whatever we do with these 6 games, where we place in the final table will be defined by the teams around us.  Tottenham are about to enter the triple whammy I&#8217;ve been looking forward to tonight at home to Arsenal.  They&#8217;ll follow that up with matches against Chelsea and Utd, but I didn&#8217;t expect that they&#8217;d be entering this sequence off the back of losses to Sunderland and Portsmouth at Wembley.  Whether that helps or hinders them remains to be seen, but naturally we all hope it hinders.</p>
<p>So here&#8217;s hoping to a cracking start and a superb atmosphere at Villa Park tonight.  If we do win, we&#8217;ll move back above Liverpool, but retain a game in hand.  And if Tottenham lose, we&#8217;ll be within a point.  A pretty tasty prospect I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;ll agree.</p>
<p></p>
<p><em>Oh, yes, quiz question &#8211; would you believe that the only manager to go an entire Premiership season without suffering a single monthly points per game ratio below 1.00 is <strong>David O&#8217;Leary</strong>? It&#8217;s true, 2003/04.  Martin O&#8217;Neill could be the first to repeat that achievement this season.</em></p>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/statshack-aston-villa-2-everton-2/" title="Statshack &#8211; Aston Villa 2 Everton 2">Statshack &#8211; Aston Villa 2 Everton 2</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/aston-villa-2-everton-2/" title="Aston Villa 2 Everton 2">Aston Villa 2 Everton 2</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2009/04/aston-villa-3-everton-3/" title="Aston Villa 3 Everton 3">Aston Villa 3 Everton 3</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>FA Cup &#8211; Aston Villa vs Chelsea &#8211; Matchday Build Up and Live Blog</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-chelsea-matchday-build-up-and-live-blog/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-chelsea-matchday-build-up-and-live-blog/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Apr 2010 23:53:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Live Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aston Villa vs Chelsea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FA Cup]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=4556</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[

I&#8217;m doing something a little different with this today.  Any of the news links that crops up between now and kick off will appear here on the first page, with the latest at the top.  The live blog will be embedded on the second page (there&#8217;s also a link at the bottom of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-chelsea-matchday-build-up-and-live-blog/"><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/JT_tantrum_mast_500px.jpg" alt="" title="Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Live Blog - FA Cup Semi Final - Wembley" width="500" height="336" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4557" /></a><br />
<span id="more-4556"></span><br />
I&#8217;m doing something a little different with this today.  Any of the news links that crops up between now and kick off will appear here on the first page, with the latest at the top.  The live blog will be embedded on the <a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-chelsea-matchday-build-up-and-live-blog/2/">second page</a> (there&#8217;s also a link at the bottom of the page) so you don&#8217;t have to load that up if that&#8217;s not what you&#8217;re here for.</p>
<p>Once again, the live blog will be mostly fed from the <a href="http://twitter.com/avc_live">Aston Villa Central Live </a>Twitter account, so there will be a little lag &#8211; I think it looks for updates every minute of so.  You can add your comments to the Live Blog if you wish, but it&#8217;s not designed to act like a chat room, so comments do require approval before they appear. </p>
<p>Clear as mud?  Good. [Simple version: Pre-match news below, live blog on <a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-chelsea-matchday-build-up-and-live-blog/2/">page 2</a>]</p>
<hr />
<p><strong>Starting XI:</strong> Friedel, Cuellar, Dunne, Collins, Warnock, A Young, Milner, Petrov, Downing, Carew, Agbonlahor.   <strong>Subs:</strong>  L Young, Sidwell, Delfouneso, Delph, Heskey, Guzan, Beye.</p>
<p>In case you missed it yesterday, I recently spotted an old video on TV of <strong>Johnny Dixon </strong>making an acceptance speech of sorts following victory in the <a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/1957-fa-cup-final-aston-villa-2-man-utd-1/">1957 FA Cup final</a>.  Unfortunately I can&#8217;t grab that video, but I did record the audio which you can listen to below.  A completely different era for sure.</p>
<p><object data="http://boos.audioboo.fm/swf/fullsize_player.swf" height="129" id="iefix1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="400"><param name="movie" value="http://boos.audioboo.fm/swf/fullsize_player.swf" /><param name="scale" value="noscale" /><param name="salign" value="lt" /><param name="bgColor" value="#FFFFFF" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="wmode" value="window" /><param name="FlashVars" value="mp3Author=avfccentral&amp;mp3LinkURL=http%3A%2F%2Faudioboo.fm%2Fboos%2F114711-johnny-dixon-fa-cup-speech-1957&amp;mp3Title=Johnny+Dixon+FA+Cup+Speech+1957&amp;mp3Time=09.32pm+09+Apr+2010&amp;mp3=http%3A%2F%2Faudioboo.fm%2Fboos%2F114711-johnny-dixon-fa-cup-speech-1957.mp3" /><a href="http://audioboo.fm/boos/114711-johnny-dixon-fa-cup-speech-1957.mp3">Listen!</a></object></p>
<h4>Premiership Fixtures</h4>
<p>Just two games in the Premiership today; both involving teams fighting relegation, so no real consequence to our own league campaign, but interesting appetizers to our match at Wembley.  Both kick off at 3pm.</p>
<ul>
<li>Hull v Burnley</li>
<li>West Ham v Sunderland</li>
</ul>
<p>Also, the <strong>Grand National</strong> will be running at 4.15pm if that&#8217;s your bag.  And football fans all around the world will surely be watching the <strong>El Classico</strong> which kicks off at 9pm.</p>
<p>The <strong>James Milner</strong> interview on BBC&#8217;s Football Focus is worth checking out. James is always good value, a thoughtful and honest player.  [<a href="http://www.avfc.co.uk/page/FeaturesDetail/0,,10265~2020219,00.html">AVFC OS</a>]</p>
<p><a href="http://www.avfc.co.uk/page/FeaturesDetail/0,,10265~2020219,00.html"><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/milner_football_focus.jpg" alt="" title="James Milner on Football Focus" width="500" height="253" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4584" /></a></p>
<p>I know a couple of the usual suspects speculated that James Collins had deleted his Twitter account after issuing a <a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/james-collins-apologises-to-villa-fans/">public apology</a> for the 7-1 defeat under some kind of instruction from the club.  Of course, that&#8217;s absolute nonsense.  James explains that he simply decided &#8220;it was time to concentrate on playing football&#8221;.</p>
<blockquote>
<div class="quote_avatar"><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/collins75px.jpg" alt="" title="collins75px" width="75" height="75" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4582" /></div>
<p><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/apr/10/james-collins-aston-villa-chelsea">James Collins</a><br />
It was tough to take for myself.  I&#8217;ve been pretty happy with my form over the last couple of months and to drop that [performance] in the middle was quite strange so I thought I would put [the apology] out there. It was maybe a comment that I shouldn&#8217;t have made looking back on it. But it did give the fans a chance to see how I was feeling. It&#8217;s all right taking all the hype and the congratulations but I think when you play bad you&#8217;ve got to be the first to admit it. And I&#8217;m big enough and ugly enough.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Martin O&#8217;Neill</strong> says that the confidence is back. [<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/apr/10/martin-oneill-aston-villa-fa-cup">The Guardian</a>]</p>
<p>The last time we were at Wembley, for the Carling Cup final, I seem to remember making a reference to entertainers being dragged into finals of yore.  For some reason Stan Boardman springs to mind, but it could be anyone of his ilk for all I care.  Anyway, apparently the team were &#8220;entertained&#8221; by a magician before the last Wembley game, but <strong>James Collins</strong> reveals that&#8217;s not the case this time.  [<a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/leagues/premierleague/astonvilla/7572074/Aston-Villa-v-Chelsea-James-Collins-eyes-revenge-after-Stamford-Bridge-humiliation.html">The Telegraph</a>]</p>
<p>This is not strictly related to the game and I probably will refer to it again in future posts, but <strong>Randy Lerner</strong> and COO <strong>Paul Faulkner</strong> have recently given an interview with The Independent&#8217;s Tom Watt and, as ever, have had one or two interesting things to say.</p>
<blockquote>
<div class="quote_avatar"><img src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/lerner75px.jpg" alt="" title="lerner75px" width="75" height="75" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4575" /></div>
<p><a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/profiles/randy-lerner-i-have-longterm-plans-but-as-a-fan-i-crave-instant-results-1939722.html">Randy Lerner</a><br />
You know, I think back to the final in February. Manchester United are a huge club, a one-off, for all sorts of historical reasons. But I wasn&#8217;t sitting at Wembley, looking at United and thinking: &#8216;I wish we were them.&#8217; I&#8217;d rather celebrate the things we&#8217;ve got that they don&#8217;t. </p>
<p>I looked along at our end of Wembley and it was rammed: scarves, banners, non-stop singing, absolutely behind the team. And this wasn&#8217;t a little club out on a jolly. It was 10 years since we&#8217;d been there and it felt like our supporters were dusting themselves down and saying: &#8216;Yes. That&#8217;s us. We&#8217;re the Villa.&#8217;
</p></blockquote>
<p>If you&#8217;re worried about the effect that the 7-1 beating has had on us, as I and many Villa fans are, Rob Smith has some excellent examples of teams that have bounced back from heavy losses to inflict revenge and vanquish their conquerors. [<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/apr/09/aston-villa-chelsea-fa-cup">The Guardian</a>]</p>
<p>The Wembley pitch has been relaid for the 10th time this season, following heavy criticism after the Carling Cup final and England vs Egypt friendly.  [<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2010/apr/09/wembley-pitch-fa-cup-semifinal">The Guardian</a>]</p>
<p></p>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/howard-webb-needs-to-explain-this/" title="Howard Webb Needs To Explain This">Howard Webb Needs To Explain This</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/random-thoughts-from-the-fa-cup-defeat/" title="Random Thoughts From The FA Cup Defeat">Random Thoughts From The FA Cup Defeat</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/aston-villa-0-chelsea-3/" title="Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 3">Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 3</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/eyes-turning-to-wembley-once-more/" title="Eyes Turning To Wembley Once More">Eyes Turning To Wembley Once More</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/fa-cup-semi-final-draw-aston-villa-vs-chelsea/" title="FA Cup Semi-Final Draw &#8211; Aston Villa vs Chelsea">FA Cup Semi-Final Draw &#8211; Aston Villa vs Chelsea</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Carling Cup Final Open News Thread</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-open-thread/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-open-thread/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2010 16:56:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General Stuff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carling Cup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=3727</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m going to leave this post open and at the top of the home page all the way up until we get the team news for the Carling Cup Final on Sunday.  I&#8217;ll drop links to all the latest news and opinion that attracts my attention on the wires and feeds, with the most [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m going to leave this post open and at the top of the home page all the way up until we get the team news for the Carling Cup Final on Sunday.  I&#8217;ll drop links to all the latest news and opinion that attracts my attention on the wires and feeds, with the most recent at the top.  Feel free to draw my attention to anything I miss.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not completely sure how I&#8217;m going to handle the match itself.  I definitely want to do something on Twitter as usual, but I&#8217;m leaning towards also doing a live blog.  On the other hand, both are distractions during a live game and this one&#8217;s a bit special.  I&#8217;d like to enjoy it myself!!  I&#8217;ll just play it by ear, but I&#8217;m definitely intending to get the best pictures uploaded via Twitter up for everyone to share.</p>
<hr />OK, I&#8217;ve closed this thread and opened a <a title="Live Blog - Carling Cup Final Man Utd vs Aston Villa" href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-live-blog-man-utd-vs-aston-villa/" target="_self">Live Blog</a>.  Sorry for the lack of links today, but there&#8217;s been <a title="Carling Cup Wembley Gallery" href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/preparations-inside-wembley-picture-gallery/" target="_self">plenty of pics</a>. Kick off just an hour away!!  UTV!!</p>
<hr />James Milner is tipped to be future England captain and interesting comparisons between James and Jonny Wilkinson. [<a title="Aston Villa's James Milner: a future England captain" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/feb/28/james-milner-aston-villa-carling-cup" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>]</p>
<hr /><strong>Sunday:</strong>This is it. This is the day we&#8217;ve all been looking forward to for so long.  I&#8217;m up, I&#8217;m almost awake.  A coffee or two and some breakfast and I&#8217;ll add some more links.  I&#8217;ve a live blog coming up later, but I&#8217;ll probably just let Twitter automatically feed most of the content in.  We&#8217;ll see how it goes.  I&#8217;ve also updated a couple of new pics in the <a title="Wembley Preparations Picture Gallery" href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/preparations-inside-wembley-picture-gallery/" target="_self">Wembley preparations gallery</a> post, I&#8217;ll continue to update that post up to kick off.</p>
<hr />I&#8217;ve come across this image which claims to be the cover of the Official Matchday Programme.  There&#8217;s lots of things that put a question mark over that for me, but you&#8217;ll be finding out for yourselves very soon. [<strong>EDIT:</strong> Confirmed, this is the programme cover]</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3767" style="margin-top: 18px;" title="Programme League Cup Final 2010 Aston Villa Man Utd small0001" src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/Programme-League-Cup-Final-2010-Aston-Villa-Man-Utd-small0001.jpg" alt="" width="414" height="582" /></p>
<hr />Not really Carling Cup news, but as Fabio Capello&#8217;s England squad to face Egypt was announced earlier today I figured it worth a mention.  Stephen Warnock, James Milner, Stewart Downing and Emile Heskey have been called up, but no place for either Ashley Young or Gabby Agbonlahor.  If either, or preferably both, would like to show Capello that he&#8217;s made a mistake, this game would be a good place to start!!<br />
<span id="more-3727"></span></p>
<hr />I have to rub my chin and wonder whether Fergie is being entirely honest when he suggests that he may rest Wayne Rooney for the final.  Yeah, I don&#8217;t know about that one Mr Ferguson!!  However, it&#8217;s worth watching the video towards the end to hear what Fergie thinks about Martin O&#8217;Neill and the side he&#8217;s built at Aston Villa. [<a title="Wayne Rooney may be rested for Carling Cup final" href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/football/league_cup/8540355.stm" target="_blank">BBC</a>]</p>
<hr />A hat-trick of great articles from The Guardian &#8211; firstly, we&#8217;re not just kidding ourselves; David Lacey describes the re-emergence of the League Cup as a competition worth paying attention to. [<a title="The Carling Cup has grown up and is putting big brother in the shade" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/feb/27/carling-cup-final-importance" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>]  Secondly, Martin O&#8217;Neill reiterates the point in the face of recent disdain towards the Cup from Arsene Wenger. [<a title="Martin O'Neill ridicules Arsène Wenger's dismissal of League Cup" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/feb/27/martin-oneill-arsene-wenger" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>] And lastly, a great interview with Ashley Young where he discusses his recent return to form and his desire to play in every game.  In fact, the photo in the article seems to suggest that he doesn&#8217;t even want to let you play with his ball!! [<a title="Ashley Young regains best form to lift Aston Villa's Carling Cup quest" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/feb/27/ashley-young-aston-villa-carling-cup" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>]</p>
<hr />Dave Woodhall, editor of Heroes &amp; Villains, answers some questions for Man Utd&#8217;s official site. [<a title="The Villa view" href="http://www.manutd.com/default.sps?pagegid={B4CEE8FA-9A47-47BC-B069-3F7A2F35DB70}&amp;newsid=6646868" target="_blank">ManUtd.com</a>]</p>
<hr />Stewart Downing made the switch to Villa for European football, but after that was quashed, the Carling Cup final is making up for it, vindicating his move. [<a title="Downing hails Villa switch" href="http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,11677_5986625,00.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&amp;utm_medium=twitter" target="_blank">Sky Sports</a>]</p>
<hr /><strong>Saturday:</strong> Finally dragged myself out of bed after watching City beat Chelsea&#8230;. what hand shaking incident? Oh, <em>that</em> incident. (video) [<a title="Apparently earth-shattering: Bridge skipped shaking Terry's hand" href="http://sports.yahoo.com/soccer/blog/sow_experts/post/Apparently-earth-shattering-Bridge-skipped-shak?urn=sow,224658" target="_blank">Dirty Tackle</a>]</p>
<p>Lots more news to catch up on shortly.  Firstly, I&#8217;ve posted a gallery of some of the final preparations going on at Wembley today. [<a title="Preparations Inside Wembley Picture Gallery" href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/preparations-inside-wembley-picture-gallery/" target="_self">Aston Villa Central</a>]</p>
<hr />I&#8217;m glad football is a lot more professional these days.  Back in 1994, Ron Atkinson had Stan Boardman with the team telling jokes over breakfast and on the bus on route to Wembley.  And we still won. [<a title="When Boardman gave Villa the last laugh " href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/football/league_cup/8537957.stm" target="_blank">BBC</a>]</p>
<hr />Man Utd haven&#8217;t won a final at the new Wembley without resorting to penalties and Alex Ferguson has confirmed that they&#8217;ve been practicing. [<a title="Nemanja Vidic targets '90 minute' League Cup final win for Manchester United over Aston Villa" href="http://www.rs.goal.com/en-gb/news/2557/news/2010/02/26/1808950/nemanja-vidic-targets-90-minute-league-cup-final-win-for" target="_blank">Goal</a>]</p>
<hr />John Carew feels he&#8217;s getting back on form that making a cup final is a useful confirmation for everyone at the clubs that they&#8217;re improving. [<a title="Carew fired up for run-in " href="http://www.premierleague.com/page/Headlines/0,,12306~1977479,00.html" target="_blank">The Premier League</a>]</p>
<hr />The reason why you can expect plenty of news coming out of the Aston Villa camp is that the media have been given access to the players.  Man Utd? Not so much.  Still, it gives David McDonnell the opportunity to use the word &#8216;curmudgeon&#8217;, so it&#8217;s not all bad.  [<a title="United are showing disdain for the Carling Cup final... and I hope Villa humiliate them at Wembley" href="http://www.mirrorfootball.co.uk/opinion/columnists/david-mcdonnell/David-McDonnell-Manchester-United-are-showing-disdain-for-the-Carling-Cup-final-and-I-hope-Aston-Villa-humiliate-them-at-Wembley-article335109.html" target="_blank">Daily Mirror</a>]</p>
<hr />Stephen Warnock warns Wayne Rooney that he&#8217;ll struggle to get much joy out of our defense and possibly gives away the team selection in the process. Not that MON is likely to shock anyone, it has to be said.  [<a title="Warnock issues Rooney warning" href="http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,13864_5984017,00.html" target="_blank">Sky Sports</a>]</p>
<hr />The Daily Mirror have a great photo gallery covering the 1994 League Cup 3-1 victory over Man Utd.  The pics can be viewed in high resolution, but are heavily watermarked.  I&#8217;m sure they won&#8217;t mind me borrowing a shot of the Utd fans cheering on Dean Saunders&#8217; injury time penalty that killed off any hopes they held of getting a late equaliser. [<a title="1994 Coca Cola Cup Final: Aston Villa v Manchester United - The unseen pictures" href="http://www.mirrorfootball.co.uk/opinion/blogs/archive-blog/1994-Coca-Cola-Cup-Final-Aston-Villa-v-Manchester-United-The-unseen-pictures-article336783.html" target="_blank">Daily Mirror</a>]</p>
<p><a href="http://www.mirrorfootball.co.uk/opinion/blogs/archive-blog/1994-Coca-Cola-Cup-Final-Aston-Villa-v-Manchester-United-The-unseen-pictures-article336783.html"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3735" title="1994_saunders_penalty" src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/1994_saunders_penalty.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="290" /></a></p>
<hr />James Milner agrees, we can win this. [<a title="Aston Villa's James Milner: We Can Beat Manchester United In League Cup Final" href="http://www.rs.goal.com/en-india/news/2173/carling-cup/2010/02/26/1808873/aston-villas-james-milner-we-can-beat-manchester-united-in" target="_blank">Goal</a>]</p>
<hr />Petrov again, this time recalling losing the UEFA Cup with Celtic in Seville and proclaiming that we&#8217;re in it to win it. [<a title="Petrov: Villa are in it to win it" href="http://www.fifa.com/worldfootball/clubfootball/news/newsid=1174672.html?cid=rssfeed&amp;att=" target="_blank">FIFA.com</a>]</p>
<hr />Chris Nee explains why the League Cup is still a big deal [<a title="Why the League Cup means lots and lots " href="http://fourfourtwo.com/blogs/fourfourtwoview/archive/2010/02/26/why-the-league-cup-means-lots-and-lots.aspx" target="_blank">Four Four Two</a>]</p>
<hr />Expect to hear plenty from Stiliyan Petrov as he&#8217;ll no doubt be doing a bunch of press conferences today along with MON.  I expect all the players will do some press, but as the captain, that&#8217;s part of Stan&#8217;s job.</p>
<p>First up, Petrov says he wants to repay faith placed in him. [<a title="Stiliyan Petrov Fired Up to Reward Aston Villa for Their Faith in Him" href="http://football.fanhouse.co.uk/2010/02/26/stiliyan-petrov-fired-up-to-reward-aston-villa-for-their-faith-i/" target="_blank">Football Fanhouse</a>]</p>
<p></p>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/hands-in-the-air-hands-in-the-air/" title="Hands In The Air, Hands In The Air">Hands In The Air, Hands In The Air</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/reflections-on-a-cup-final/" title="Reflections On A Cup Final">Reflections On A Cup Final</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-man-utd-2-aston-villa-1/" title="Carling Cup Final &#8211; Man Utd 2 Aston Villa 1">Carling Cup Final &#8211; Man Utd 2 Aston Villa 1</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-live-blog-man-utd-vs-aston-villa/" title="Carling Cup Final Live Blog &#8211; Man Utd vs Aston Villa">Carling Cup Final Live Blog &#8211; Man Utd vs Aston Villa</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/preparations-inside-wembley-picture-gallery/" title="Preparations Inside Wembley Picture Gallery">Preparations Inside Wembley Picture Gallery</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Early Wembley Team News And A Tale Of Two Brads</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/early-wembley-team-news-and-a-tale-of-two-brads/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/early-wembley-team-news-and-a-tale-of-two-brads/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2010 09:05:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carling Cup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=3717</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As you&#8217;re hopefully aware (because I told you on Wednesday if you bothered to pay attention), Aston Villa made the trip down to London yesterday.  Since they&#8217;ve effectively started the preparation for Sunday&#8217;s final, I figured I might as well follow suit.
Stiliyan Petrov deserves a special mention.  He was sent home suffering a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As you&#8217;re hopefully aware (because I told you on Wednesday if you bothered to pay attention), Aston Villa made the trip down to London yesterday.  Since they&#8217;ve effectively started the preparation for Sunday&#8217;s final, I figured I might as well follow suit.</p>
<p><strong>Stiliyan Petrov</strong> deserves a special mention.  He was sent home suffering a virus prior to Wednesday&#8217;s FA Cup match with Crystal Palace and there&#8217;s been some speculation since then that he may not make the final.  He&#8217;s much more positive and said that he trained lightly yesterday.  I&#8217;d assume at this stage that he didn&#8217;t travel with the rest of the squad, but perhaps I&#8217;d do better to remember what happens when one assumes.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s hope he&#8217;s fit and well in time.  I&#8217;m not convinced that a less than 100% Petrov is better than the other options, but then this is a big occasion and he has the experience to deal with it.  My suspicion would have to be that he&#8217;ll move mountains to make sure he can play and you just try to stop him.</p>
<p>Arguably the biggest selection headache that MON has, or at least the one that&#8217;s the hottest topic of debate among the fans right now, is the choice of goal keeper.  An opinion I keep running into is that <strong>Brad Guzan</strong> deserves to get the nod and on that note you&#8217;ll get no argument from me, he most certainly does <em>deserve</em> it.  However, you would do very well to convince me that&#8217;s an appropriate basis to pick a side for any game, let alone the club&#8217;s first cup final in a decade.<br />
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I think there&#8217;s a certain argument to leaving him out for his own benefit.  If picked, he could play a blinder, perhaps put in a match winning performance, and his star would rise exponentially, but what would happen if he stunk up the place and even cost us the game? Anyone remember what happened to Scott Carson after he flopped on his England debut? Exactly!</p>
<p>Some people might claim that at 38, <strong>Brad Friedel</strong> as lost some of sharpness, but I&#8217;m not so sure.  Even if that were true, his experience and positional sense allows him to still make many saves that other keepers couldn&#8217;t.  Guzan looked far more comfortable in his area against Palace this week than he had against Blackburn in the semi-final, but there was still a break down in communication between him and <strong>Carlos Cuellar</strong> over who should deal with a dangerous ball into the box.  In the end, Cuellar hoofed it to safety, but both men had plenty to say to each other afterward.</p>
<p>Personally, and this is just a hunch, having shown that he was willing to put Friedel into a cup game at Selhurst Park, I think MON was resting the older Brad when he started the younger one in the replay.  It could be that he was giving the apprentice one final chance to state his case for the final and, if that&#8217;s the case, only the manager will know whether he&#8217;s done enough.  </p>
<p>Perhaps one solution would be to start with Friedel and keep a substitution in hand, which shouldn&#8217;t be difficult for MON, and should we end up going to penalties, bring Guzan on just before the final whistle, just in time for the shoot out.  If there&#8217;s one thing we can all agree on; there&#8217;s no question who we would want in goal if it came to the dreaded shoot out.</p>
<p><strong>Stephen Warnock</strong> has been making a headline or two in the last 24 hours, or more accurately Wayne Bridge has dragged his name into the limelight.  Apparently Bridge doesn&#8217;t want to go to South Africa, opening up the door to a list of suitors for the role of Ashley Cole&#8217;s understudy.  I know, who wouldn&#8217;t want <em>that</em> role, right?  As far as timing and occasion goes, could this be a better opportunity for Warnock to show what he&#8217;s got?</p>
<p>Across the back, <strong>Carlos Cuellar</strong> and <strong>Richard Dunne</strong> have to be as nailed on to start as it&#8217;s possible to be, so it&#8217;s just a question whether rested <strong>James Collins</strong> will be recalled to partner Dunne in the middle, with Cuellar at right back, or whether <strong>Luke Young</strong> will get the nod at full back.</p>
<p>As much as Collins has impressed me since he joined, I feel that Luke Young is a better right back than Carlos Cuellar and that he and Dunne have barely put a foot wrong in the middle, so if it were my decision, Collins would start on the bench.  If the 3 centre backs had been more productive from corners and free kicks, as I&#8217;ve lamented before, I&#8217;d be temped to say that the benefits of playing all three outweigh the deficits at full back, but they haven&#8217;t.</p>
<p>In midfield, could it be that MON recently handed <strong>Fabian Delph</strong> a rare Premiership start against Man Utd with this game in mind?  Delph put in his best performance for Villa to date in that game and the confidence derived from that could be invaluable should he be called upon at Wembley.  He certainly seems to be genuinely ahead of <strong>Steve Sidwell</strong> now, so if Petrov isn&#8217;t available, we&#8217;d have to expect the youngster to start.  20 years old, starting a Wembley final against Man Utd, it&#8217;s a big ask.</p>
<p>Whatever the selection problems in the middle, we all know that <strong>James Milner</strong>, <strong>Ashley Young</strong> and <strong>Stewart Downing</strong> will be in the starting XI.  I mean, aside from a meteorite crashing into the team hotel, we all know this.  I have little add to this, except to repeat that I was particularly happy with the 4-2-3-1 MON put out against Utd last time. Just saying.</p>
<p>If Stan is available, and MON does go with the 4-2-3-1 again, then it&#8217;s <strong>Gabby Agbonlahor</strong> plowing the top field alone.  However, <strong>John Carew</strong> won and scored two penalties very well to kill off Palace on Wednesday so can&#8217;t be discounted and <strong>Emile Heskey</strong> is always in the frame for a start.</p>
<p>Honestly, I&#8217;ve absolutely no clue whether MON will fancy a 4-4-2 against Utd or not.  No clue. None.  The good thing is that Alex Ferguson can be none the wiser either, not that he will necessarily pick his team around our likely selection though.  As I understand it, he may not have rich pickings anyway, with several key players unavailable.</p>
<p>I want to finish up by mentioning that <strong>Nathan Delfouneso</strong> has caught Stuart Pearce&#8217;s eye and received his first  call up to the England Under-21 squad for the European Championship qualifier with group leaders Greece next week along with Fabian Delph.  Brad Guzan is in the US squad travelling to Amsterdam for a friendly against Holland next week and we wait to see who Fabio Capello will call up for England&#8217;s friendly against Egypt.</p>
<p>Actually, one final, final thing.  I&#8217;ve deliberately avoided referring to Guzan as &#8220;Little Brad&#8221; or anything similar in this post since I noticed earlier that he&#8217;s the same height and 20 lbs heavier than the man we sing about being bigger than me and you.  It seems that little Brad is bigger than him which pretty much makes him the biggest player in the squad and it&#8217;s well known that Americans don&#8217;t get irony.</p>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/hands-in-the-air-hands-in-the-air/" title="Hands In The Air, Hands In The Air">Hands In The Air, Hands In The Air</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/03/reflections-on-a-cup-final/" title="Reflections On A Cup Final">Reflections On A Cup Final</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-man-utd-2-aston-villa-1/" title="Carling Cup Final &#8211; Man Utd 2 Aston Villa 1">Carling Cup Final &#8211; Man Utd 2 Aston Villa 1</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/carling-cup-final-live-blog-man-utd-vs-aston-villa/" title="Carling Cup Final Live Blog &#8211; Man Utd vs Aston Villa">Carling Cup Final Live Blog &#8211; Man Utd vs Aston Villa</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/02/preparations-inside-wembley-picture-gallery/" title="Preparations Inside Wembley Picture Gallery">Preparations Inside Wembley Picture Gallery</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Aston Villa vs Brighton &#8211; FA Cup 4th Round</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/01/aston-villa-vs-brighton-fa-cup-4th-round/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/01/aston-villa-vs-brighton-fa-cup-4th-round/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jan 2010 07:00:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aston Villa vs Brighton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FA Cup]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=3345</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Since we&#8217;re all probably still riding on a high from achieving our first Wembley final in 10 years, can anyone think of the link from that game to this one?  Answer at the bottom.
Alright, word on the street is that MON will ring the changes and rest some very tired legs after Wednesday&#8217;s heroics. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3346" title="villa_brighton" src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/villa_brighton.png" alt="villa_brighton" width="500" height="150" /></p>
<p>Since we&#8217;re all probably still riding on a high from achieving our first Wembley final in 10 years, can anyone think of the link from that game to this one?  Answer at the bottom.</p>
<p>Alright, word on the street is that MON will ring the changes and rest some very tired legs after Wednesday&#8217;s heroics.  Quite right too.  From the sounds of things, Fabian Delph will be starting in the middle with either Reo-Coker or Steve Sidwell alongside him, possibly both.  Petrov will be rested and is carrying a slight Achilles injury.  Carew is not yet ready to return.</p>
<p>Obviously we can&#8217;t expect the spectacular atmosphere from midweek, but Brighton are bringing a lot of fans with the intent of enjoying their day.  Let&#8217;s face it, and no disrespect to the south coast side, all things being equal, this is their final.  They&#8217;ll come and give it everything they&#8217;ve got and we&#8217;ve all seen Villa go out prematurely in such circumstances, so hopefully whoever MON sends out will play their hearts out.<br />
<span id="more-3345"></span><br />
In all honesty, the draw has been very kind to Villa and they just have to grab this opportunity to ease into the fifth round with both hands.  The 5th round contains the last 16 teams, or if you think of it in World Cup terms; it&#8217;s the first knock out round after the group stage.  Serious business and definitely no easy games. Also just one of three games to the final, but we don&#8217;t want to get carried away dreaming about <em>two</em> trips to Wembley just yet.</p>
<p>For those of us not heading to Villa Park today, there&#8217;s just about no chance of seeing this game I&#8217;m afraid.  The FA is notoriously restrictive about which games get televised live and that goes all around the world.  If it&#8217;s not on TV somewhere in the world, it can&#8217;t be streamed.  As ever, I&#8217;ll update what I find on <a title="Aston Villa Central on Twitter" href="http://twitter.com/avfccentral" target="_blank">Twitter</a>, but it&#8217;s going to be very limited coverage.</p>
<p>Assuming our name is in the hat, you&#8217;ll want to be looking out for the draw on Sunday just after 6pm GMT.</p>
<p>The answer to the question at the top was of course that Brighton&#8217;s manager is Gus Poyet who was a member of the Chelsea side that beat us 1-0 in the FA Cup Final back in 2000.  You knew that though, right?  On that subject, the scorer of the only goal that day, Roberto Di Matteo, is now in charge of West Brom who host Newcastle this round.  Talk about attack of the barcodes!</p>
<p></p>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Possibly Related Posts</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/01/aston-villa-3-brighton-2-fa-cup-4th-round/" title="Aston Villa 3 Brighton 2 &#8211; FA Cup 4th Round">Aston Villa 3 Brighton 2 &#8211; FA Cup 4th Round</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/howard-webb-needs-to-explain-this/" title="Howard Webb Needs To Explain This">Howard Webb Needs To Explain This</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/random-thoughts-from-the-fa-cup-defeat/" title="Random Thoughts From The FA Cup Defeat">Random Thoughts From The FA Cup Defeat</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/aston-villa-0-chelsea-3/" title="Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 3">Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 3</a></li><li><a href="http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/04/fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-chelsea-matchday-build-up-and-live-blog/" title="FA Cup &#8211; Aston Villa vs Chelsea &#8211; Matchday Build Up and Live Blog">FA Cup &#8211; Aston Villa vs Chelsea &#8211; Matchday Build Up and Live Blog</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Kick Off Less Than Two Hours Away</title>
		<link>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/01/kick-off-less-than-two-hours-away/</link>
		<comments>http://astonvillacentral.com/2010/01/kick-off-less-than-two-hours-away/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 18:12:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aston Villa vs Blackburn Rovers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carling Cup]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://astonvillacentral.com/?p=3296</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
OK, we&#8217;re just hours away from kicking off one of the most important games in recent memory and I have to admit to being both excited and not a little nervous.
It&#8217;s effectively half time, but we have the advantage of having the lead and the home support for the second half.  We&#8217;re just 90 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3297" title="wembley2000-01_02" src="http://astonvillacentral.com/wp-content/uploads/wembley2000-01_02.png" alt="wembley2000-01_02" width="500" height="150" /></p>
<p>OK, we&#8217;re just hours away from kicking off one of the most important games in recent memory and I have to admit to being both excited and not a little nervous.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s effectively half time, but we have the advantage of having the lead and the home support for the second half.  We&#8217;re just 90 minutes away from booking our first trip to Wembley in a decade!!</p>
<p>Martin O&#8217;Neill knows all about the League Cup and I can&#8217;t imagine for a second that he&#8217;s going to allow his side to be complacent enough to miss out on this opportunity today.  But let&#8217;s not count any chickens yet, Blackburn are unlikely not to put up some kind of fight.</p>
<p>This won&#8217;t be easy, we&#8217;ll need performances all round the pitch and we may just need to score a goal or two, so let&#8217;s hope we take the chances when they come this time.  I&#8217;m looking at you Mr Heskey!!</p>
<p>If anything major comes up before kick off I&#8217;ll update it here, but otherwise it&#8217;s over to <a title="Aston Villa Central on Twitter" href="http://twitter.com/avfccentral" target="_blank">Twitter</a> soon.</p>
<p>UTV!!</p>
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