In part one we looked at a graphical representation of four Aston Villa managers accumulating points in the Premiership over the course of their first 114 games at Aston Villa – roughly a 3 year period. John Gregory was in first place with 174 points, Martin O’Neill and Brian Little were tied on 172 points and David O’Leary was predictably bringing up the rear with 145 points.
We’re now going to look at the data behind the chart to compare
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Some time ago I decided to take a statistical look at Martin O’Neill’s first 100 league games for no other reason than it was an interesting milestone. The first table in that post showed MON’s first 100 games up against the record of the other manager’s first 100 games – well, almost in Ron Atkinson’s case. The second table puts that same 100 game record against other manager’s career league records at Villa. (Premiership only).
Interestingly, there’s a little
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I’m deliberately using the word ‘expectation’ in place of ‘prediction’. Predicting the result of a single game with all of the possible variables is folly, but we all do it on an “all things being equal” basis. All things most certainly are not equal though. Bookmakers know this, it’s why they offer us the opportunity to wager on our predictions and they make a healthy living. Even a “dead cert” can fail to deliver. Over
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My old mate Damo has been banging an interesting drum recently which is summed up pretty nicely in a comment he made on his blog today:-
I think the most interesting thing is if you look at actual spend as a percentage of turnover … it’s almost the same. Nothing has really changed.
He’s made similar statements several times recently, although he normally inserts some kind of disclaimer that this is just what someone has told him, so don’t hold him to
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There’s no question that Randy Lerner is a breath of fresh air compared to the old regime under Doug Ellis… but how do the two owners compare financially??
The first of a possible series of 2008/09 season reviews. This one focuses on statistics, so if you think Gareth Barry isn’t a great player because as a central midfielder he doesn’t posses the speed and skill of a winger then this probably isn’t for you.
Mystic Dan looks towards the end of the season and wonders whether Villa can resurrect a challenge for 4th, will make 5th theirs or will be fighting Everton to the line.
Martin O’Neill has now taken charge of 100 Premiership games at Aston Villa and it’s a great opportunity to compare his league record with his predecessors. So… great, or greatest??
9 Villa players make the Actim Top 100 for Jan 6th 2009.